SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | AC Milan |
34.7% ( -0.61) | 25.86% ( 0.03) | 39.44% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( -0.2) | 49.71% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( -0.18) | 71.72% ( 0.19) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( -0.47) | 27.49% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% ( -0.61) | 62.98% ( 0.61) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% ( 0.22) | 24.8% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.62% ( 0.31) | 59.38% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.7% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.44% |
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