Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
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