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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 18, 2021 at 11.30am UK
San Siro
GL

AC Milan
2 - 1
Genoa

Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
68.16%18.79%13.06%
Both teams to score 50.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.14%41.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.74%64.26%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74%11.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.15%35.85%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.69%43.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.45%79.55%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 68.15%
    Genoa 13.06%
    Draw 18.79%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 11.63%
1-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 7.09%
4-0 @ 4.62%
4-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.97%
5-0 @ 2.02%
5-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 68.15%
1-1 @ 8.91%
0-0 @ 4.88%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 18.79%
0-1 @ 4.08%
1-2 @ 3.73%
0-2 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.14%
1-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 13.06%

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