SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Liverpool |
37% ( 1.06) | 23.85% ( 0.22) | 39.14% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 62.03% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.87% ( -0.96) | 40.13% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.5% ( -1) | 62.49% ( 1) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( 0.1) | 21.76% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.05% ( 0.16) | 54.94% ( -0.17) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( -1.01) | 20.71% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.67% ( -1.61) | 53.32% ( 1.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.01% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.14% |
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