SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%).
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | AC Milan |
49.6% ( -1.07) | 22.38% ( 0.4) | 28.02% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 63.5% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.44% ( -1.43) | 36.56% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.29% ( -1.57) | 58.7% ( 1.57) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.92% ( -0.88) | 15.07% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.4% ( -1.68) | 43.59% ( 1.68) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( -0.29) | 25.22% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% ( -0.4) | 59.96% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.1)Other @ 4.13% Total : 49.6% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.02% |
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