SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Parma had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | AC Milan |
35.31% ( -0.05) | 23.83% ( -0.02) | 40.87% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.86% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.74% ( 0.07) | 40.26% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.37% ( 0.07) | 62.64% ( -0.07) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( 0.01) | 22.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.63% ( 0.01) | 56.37% ( -0) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( 0.06) | 19.97% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.86% ( 0.09) | 52.15% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.31% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 40.87% |
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