SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | AC Milan |
49.68% ( -0.06) | 22.28% ( 0) | 28.04% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 63.89% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.95% ( 0.04) | 36.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.85% ( 0.05) | 58.15% ( -0.05) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.14% ( -0.01) | 14.86% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.81% ( -0.01) | 43.19% ( 0.01) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( 0.06) | 24.95% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.41% ( 0.09) | 59.59% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 49.68% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.04% |
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