Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 7, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Deportes Tolima.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 35.7%. A win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Academia Puerto Cabello win was 1-0 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportes Tolima would win this match.
| Result |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
34.77% ( 0.16) | 29.53% ( 0.02) | 35.7% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.38% ( -0.06) |
| 36.38% ( -0.08) | 63.61% ( 0.08) |
| 17.09% ( -0.06) | 82.91% ( 0.06) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| 65.55% ( 0.07) | 34.44% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.84% ( 0.07) | 71.16% ( -0.07) |
| 66.18% ( -0.16) | 33.82% ( 0.16) |
