Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Deportes Tolima in this match.
