SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academia Puerto Cabello win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Academia Puerto Cabello win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Nacional |
37.02% ( -0.03) | 26.96% ( -0.01) | 36.01% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.77% ( 0.03) | 54.22% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.37% ( 0.03) | 75.62% ( -0.03) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% | 28.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.02% ( -0) | 63.97% ( -0) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( 0.03) | 28.86% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( 0.05) | 64.73% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.01% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.01% |
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