Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
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