Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 50.85%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
50.85% ( -0.07) | 22.32% ( 0.02) | 26.83% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 62.64% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.75% ( -0.05) | 37.25% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.55% ( -0.06) | 59.45% ( 0.06) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.1% ( -0.04) | 14.9% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.73% ( -0.08) | 43.27% ( 0.08) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( 0.01) | 26.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.45% ( 0.01) | 61.55% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 4.16% Total : 50.85% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.83% |
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