Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
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