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League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
AW

Notts County
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Platt (67')
Macarai (13'), Platt (64'), Abbott (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Harbottle (9'), Furlong (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 12 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
38.53% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 24.9% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)45.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)23.25% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)57.16% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.025999999999996 0.03)24.29% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (0.032000000000004 0.03)58.66% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 38.53%
    AFC Wimbledon 36.57%
    Draw 24.89%
Notts CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.53%
1-1 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 36.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 12 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Northampton
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Notts County
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Notts County
Tuesday, September 24 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-4 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two


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