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League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
WA

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Wrexham

Tilley (81' pen.)
Bugiel (40'), Jackson (41'), Lewis (48'), Pell (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lee (22')
Boyle (56'), Lee (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Wrexham

AFC Wimbledon put in a spirited performance when they managed to defeat Championship promotion hopefuls Coventry on Wednesday night, which should give them confidence heading into a tough game. However, despite their opening day defeat, Wrexham should have enough quality to get their first league win on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawWrexham
26.73% (0.176 0.18) 25.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 47.87% (-0.191 -0.19)
Both teams to score 52.14% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.027999999999999 0.03)51.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.025000000000002 0.03)72.91% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.15600000000001 0.16)33.72% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (0.166 0.17)70.37% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)21.34% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (-0.115 -0.12)54.3% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 26.73%
    Wrexham 47.86%
    Draw 25.4%
AFC WimbledonDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.57% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.73%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 11.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.58% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 47.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Coventry
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 QPR
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Wigan (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Wrexham 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Wrexham
Wednesday, July 26 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Chelsea 5-0 Wrexham
Thursday, July 20 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, April 22 at 6.30pm in National League


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