SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
29.61% ( 1.65) | 24.48% ( 0.54) | 45.91% ( -2.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.19% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( -1.45) | 45.37% ( 1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( -1.4) | 67.7% ( 1.39) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( 0.42) | 28.62% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( 0.53) | 64.43% ( -0.53) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( -1.47) | 19.87% ( 1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.02% ( -2.44) | 51.98% ( 2.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.51)2-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.61% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 5% ( -0.34)0-3 @ 4% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.24)0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.91% |
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