SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Angers had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for an Angers win it was 2-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
17.5% ( -0.37) | 20.66% ( -0.13) | 61.84% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.72% ( -0.03) | 41.27% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( -0.03) | 63.67% ( 0.02) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.97% ( -0.44) | 37.02% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.19% ( -0.44) | 73.81% ( 0.44) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( 0.14) | 12.83% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.82% ( 0.28) | 39.17% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.5% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.66% | 0-2 @ 10.01% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0)0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6.81% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 3.5% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 61.83% |
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