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PL
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
N

PSG
1 - 1
Nantes

Hakimi (2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abline (38')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-0 PSG
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Le Havre
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Nantes

Despite continental troubles, PSG remain near-perfect in Ligue 1 and should have no problem collecting another three points, doing so with a fourth home clean sheet in seven games at the Parc des Princes so far - the same tally they managed in the whole of last season. Nantes have been absolutely woeful of late, and on paper there are not many bigger mismatches on paper in Europe's top leagues this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.29%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 10.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
74.29% (0.117 0.12) 15.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 10.14% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 52.13% (-0.44 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.52% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)34.48% (0.33 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.59% (-0.375 -0.38)56.41% (0.37 0.37)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)7.89% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.06% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)27.94% (0.133 0.13)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.6% (-0.445 -0.45)43.4% (0.44 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37% (-0.377 -0.38)79.63% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 74.29%
    Nantes 10.14%
    Draw 15.57%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
2-0 @ 11.04% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 9.35% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.93% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.01% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 74.29%
1-1 @ 7.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 15.57%
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.86% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 PSG
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 3-0 Toulouse
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-4 PSG
Saturday, November 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-2 Atletico
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 1-0 Lens
Saturday, November 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Le Havre
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-2 Nantes
Saturday, November 9 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Nice
Sunday, October 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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