SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Troyes |
59.66% ( 0.08) | 22.96% ( 0.02) | 17.38% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.34% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.77% ( -0.21) | 51.23% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.93% ( -0.18) | 73.07% ( 0.18) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.18% ( -0.05) | 16.82% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.19% ( -0.08) | 46.81% ( 0.08) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.91% ( -0.24) | 43.09% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.64% ( -0.2) | 79.36% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 59.66% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.7% Total : 17.38% |
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