While Almere City have done an effective job of staying up, they are facing an Ajax side that are motivated to finish strongly. With that in mind, we expect the hosts to extend their unbeaten run to four matches with a convincing victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 11.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
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