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Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
A

Almere City
2 - 2
Ajax

Ritmeester van de Kamp (67'), Robinet (90+3' pen.)
Jacobs (7'), van Bruggen (15'), Robinet (15'), Resink (75'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Akpom (68'), Tahirovic (82')
Brobbey (15'), Rensch (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Almere City
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Brighton
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Almere City 1-3 Ajax

Although Ajax are now on the up, they cannot underestimate opponents who are brimming in confidence. As a result, we feel that Ajax will produce one of their most efficient performances of the season to win a game that could move them into the top half of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.68%) and 1-3 (6.51%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawAjax
25.45% (-0.375 -0.38) 21.05% (0.132 0.13) 53.5% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 65.97% (-0.91600000000001 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.7% (-1.021 -1.02)32.29% (1.019 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.09% (-1.197 -1.2)53.91% (1.195 1.19)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.809 -0.81)24.73% (0.806 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (-1.141 -1.14)59.28% (1.139 1.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)12.35% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.82% (-0.574 -0.57)38.18% (0.572 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 25.45%
    Ajax 53.5%
    Draw 21.05%
Almere CityDrawAjax
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.27% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 2.98% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.45%
1-1 @ 8.92% (0.189 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 2.12% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 6.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.28 0.28)
0-3 @ 4.66% (0.109 0.11)
2-3 @ 4.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-4 @ 3.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.44% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.38% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
2-5 @ 0.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 53.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Almere City
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, October 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Almere City
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Almere City
Saturday, September 30 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-4 PSV
Saturday, September 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Brighton
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ajax 4-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Volendam
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 5-2 Ajax
Sunday, October 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Brighton 2-0 Ajax
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Utrecht 4-3 Ajax
Sunday, October 22 at 11.15am in Eredivisie


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