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A
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
E

Ajax
2 - 2
Excelsior

Rensch (27'), Akpom (89')
Tahirovic (68'), Benita (73')
Bergwijn (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baas (38' pen.), Lamprou (53')
Horemans (67'), Gaaei (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, April 14 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 4-0 Volendam
Friday, April 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-0 SBV Excelsior

Although Ajax have been inconsistent over a prolonged period of time, the manner of their success over Twente has the potential to flick a switch. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to secure another welcome win on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 3-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawSBV Excelsior
78% (2.542 2.54) 12.65% (-1.322 -1.32) 9.34% (-1.2191 -1.22)
Both teams to score 62.29% (1.078 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.62% (3.137 3.14)21.38% (-3.136 -3.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.96% (4.249 4.25)40.03% (-4.248 -4.25)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.57% (1.027 1.03)4.42% (-1.026 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.79% (3.09 3.09)18.21% (-3.089 -3.09)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16% (0.43000000000001 0.43)34.83% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43% (0.451 0.45)71.56% (-0.449 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 78%
    SBV Excelsior 9.34%
    Draw 12.65%
AjaxDrawSBV Excelsior
3-1 @ 8.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.579 -0.58)
3-0 @ 7.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.643 -0.64)
4-1 @ 6.4% (0.419 0.42)
4-0 @ 6.07% (0.331 0.33)
1-0 @ 4.8% (-0.787 -0.79)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.044 0.04)
5-1 @ 3.99% (0.512 0.51)
5-0 @ 3.79% (0.445 0.45)
4-2 @ 3.38% (0.257 0.26)
5-2 @ 2.11% (0.291 0.29)
6-1 @ 2.08% (0.387 0.39)
6-0 @ 1.97% (0.348 0.35)
4-3 @ 1.19% (0.103 0.1)
6-2 @ 1.1% (0.215 0.22)
7-1 @ 0.93% (0.223 0.22)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 78%
1-1 @ 5.07% (-0.761 -0.76)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-0 @ 1.54% (-0.38 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 12.65%
1-2 @ 2.67% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-1 @ 1.62% (-0.378 -0.38)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 9.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ajax 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, April 14 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 6-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Thursday, April 4 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax
Sunday, March 31 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, March 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Ajax
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Excelsior 4-0 Volendam
Friday, April 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-1 Excelsior
Saturday, April 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 PSV
Tuesday, April 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 4-0 Excelsior
Sunday, March 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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