Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
