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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 3-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
43.16% ( -0.01) | 20.7% ( 0) | 36.14% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 74.35% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.82% ( -0.01) | 24.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.16% ( -0.02) | 43.84% ( 0.02) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.48% ( -0.01) | 12.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.47% ( -0.02) | 38.53% ( 0.02) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% ( -0) | 15.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.53% ( -0.01) | 43.47% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 5.05% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0)1-0 @ 3.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 43.16% | 1-1 @ 7.4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.3% 3-3 @ 3.2% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0)0-1 @ 3.56% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 4.18% Total : 36.14% |
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