SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Baltika |
48.67% ( 0.1) | 26.74% ( -0.03) | 24.59% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.42% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.41% ( 0.06) | 57.59% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.63% ( 0.05) | 78.37% ( -0.05) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% ( 0.08) | 23.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.12% ( 0.11) | 57.88% ( -0.1) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.87% ( -0.03) | 39.13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.16% ( -0.03) | 75.84% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Baltika |
| 1-0 @ 13.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.66% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 24.59% |
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