Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 52.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Akhmat Grozny in this match.
Result | ||
Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
52.23% ( -0.08) | 26.06% ( 0.05) | 21.71% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.25% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.47% ( -0.15) | 57.53% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.68% ( -0.12) | 78.32% ( 0.12) |
Akhmat Grozny Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.87% ( -0.1) | 22.13% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.5% ( -0.14) | 55.5% ( 0.14) |
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.11% ( -0.06) | 41.89% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.66% ( -0.05) | 78.34% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
1-0 @ 13.97% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 52.22% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.13% Total : 21.71% |
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