SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
43.03% ( 0.29) | 27.07% ( -0.04) | 29.9% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 49.13% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.09% ( 0.04) | 55.91% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.98% ( 0.03) | 77.02% ( -0.03) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( 0.16) | 25.74% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.32% ( 0.22) | 60.67% ( -0.22) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.16% ( -0.17) | 33.84% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.5% ( -0.18) | 70.5% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.9% |
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