Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.

Result
Rubin Kazan	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
43.03% ( 0.29)	27.07% ( -0.04)	29.9% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 49.13% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.09% (

0.04)

55.91% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.98% (

0.03)

77.02% (

-0.03)

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26% (

0.16)

25.74% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32% (

0.22)

60.67% (

-0.22)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.16% (

-0.17)

33.84% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.5% (

-0.18)

70.5% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Rubin Kazan 43.03%

Akhmat Grozny 29.9%

Draw 27.06%

Rubin Kazan	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.03%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.9%