SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Baltika in this match.
| Result | ||
| Baltika | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
39.85% ( 0.01) | 27.17% ( 0) | 32.97% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.95% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.61% ( -0.01) | 55.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.41% ( -0.01) | 76.59% ( 0.01) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% | 27.2% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.39% ( -0) | 62.61% ( 0) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( -0.01) | 31.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.24% ( -0.01) | 67.76% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Baltika | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.85% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.98% |
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