SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Qatar SC had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Qatar SC win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Arabi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Arabi | Draw | Qatar SC |
50.66% ( -0.03) | 22.3% ( 0) | 27.04% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.91% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.03% ( 0) | 36.97% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.84% ( 0) | 59.16% ( -0) |
| Al Arabi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.14% ( -0.01) | 14.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.8% ( -0.01) | 43.2% ( 0.01) |
| Qatar SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% ( 0.02) | 26.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.83% ( 0.02) | 61.17% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Arabi | Draw | Qatar SC |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.04% 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 4.19% Total : 50.66% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.3% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 1% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.04% |
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