SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Shamal |
43.41% ( -0.01) | 22.72% ( 0) | 33.87% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.64% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.85% ( -0.03) | 35.15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.84% ( -0.03) | 57.16% ( 0.03) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( -0.02) | 16.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.24% ( -0.03) | 46.77% ( 0.03) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( -0.01) | 21.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( -0.02) | 53.93% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Shamal |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 3.76% Total : 33.87% |
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