SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Al Markhiya had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-3 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for an Al Markhiya win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Markhiya | Draw | Al Gharafa |
15.71% ( 0.01) | 17.96% ( 0) | 66.33% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 60.9% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.33% ( -0) | 31.67% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.82% ( -0) | 53.18% ( 0.01) |
| Al Markhiya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( 0) | 33.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% ( 0) | 69.75% |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.09% ( 0) | 8.91% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.55% ( -0) | 30.45% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Markhiya | Draw | Al Gharafa |
| 2-1 @ 4.35% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.26% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.8% 3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 15.71% | 1-1 @ 7.89% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.29% Total : 17.96% | 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-2 @ 8.63% 1-3 @ 7.68% ( -0)0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.96% 1-4 @ 4.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.24% 0-4 @ 4.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.57% 1-5 @ 2.25% 0-5 @ 2.03% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.24% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.94% 1-6 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 66.33% |
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