SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Ahli |
38.83% ( 0.13) | 26.59% ( 0.22) | 34.57% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 52.08% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% ( -0.96) | 52.83% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% ( -0.83) | 74.45% ( 0.83) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( -0.38) | 26.56% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.22% ( -0.5) | 61.77% ( 0.5) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( -0.69) | 29.07% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% ( -0.86) | 64.99% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.82% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.57% |
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