While Auckland's ambition to match their 2014 success, Al Ittihad's home advantage and the return of Benzema should see the Tigers secure progress to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Auckland City had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Auckland City win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al Ittihad	Draw	Auckland City
60.05% ( 0.03)	22.14% ( -0.02)	17.81% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.61% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.72% (

0.05)

47.28% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

0.05)

69.5% (

-0.05)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.67% (

0.03)

15.33% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.93% (

0.05)

44.07% (

-0.05)

Auckland City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.77% (

0.02)

40.23% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.14% (

0.02)

76.86% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Al Ittihad 60.04%

Auckland City 17.81%

Draw 22.14%

Al Ittihad	Draw	Auckland City
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 60.04%	1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.14%	0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.81%