SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.47%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 9.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Hazem |
75.47% ( -0.08) | 15% ( 0.02) | 9.52% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.34% ( 0.05) | 33.66% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.52% ( 0.06) | 55.48% ( -0.06) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.54% ( -0.01) | 7.46% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.18% ( -0.01) | 26.81% ( 0.01) |
| Al Hazem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.96% ( 0.14) | 44.03% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.85% ( 0.12) | 80.15% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Hazem |
| 2-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.1% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.15% 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 75.47% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.01% Total : 15.01% | 1-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.52% |
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