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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 18
Dec 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
3 - 1
Al Ettifaq

Telles (43'), Brozovic (59'), Ronaldo (73' pen.)
Laporte (45+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Al Kuwaykibi (85')
Dembele (36'), Tisserand (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-1 Al Riyadh
Friday, December 8 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-2 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, December 16 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Ettifaq

Al-Nassr have a solid home record and will win this emphatically if they bring their best game against a side that has struggled for a while. For a side showing no form at all, facing a dominant side away from home is not the ideal assignment for Gerrard's men, and the mission will be to keep the result respectable. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 71.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Ettifaq
71.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 17.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 11.43% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.76% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.39% (0.046999999999997 0.05)38.61% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.09% (0.048000000000002 0.05)60.92% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)9.57% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03)32.03% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.13% (0.048000000000002 0.05)43.87% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.99% (0.038999999999998 0.04)80.02% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 71.37%
    Al Ettifaq 11.43%
    Draw 17.19%
Al-NassrDrawAl Ettifaq
2-0 @ 11.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.85% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.45% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 4.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 2.49%
5-1 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 71.37%
1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 17.19%
0-1 @ 3.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 11.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-1 Al Riyadh
Friday, December 8 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Istiqlol Dushanbe 1-1 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, December 5 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-0 Al-Nassr
Friday, December 1 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-0 Persepolis
Monday, November 27 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 3-0 Al Okhdood
Friday, November 24 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-3 Al-Nassr
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-2 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, December 16 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 0-0 Al Ettifaq
Thursday, December 7 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-0 Al Ettifaq
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 1-1 Al Ittihad
Friday, November 24 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-0 Al Ettifaq
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-0 Al Raed
Saturday, November 4 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League


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