SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Raed win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Raed win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Raed | Draw | Al Riyadh |
37.45% ( 1.13) | 26.91% ( 0.05) | 35.64% ( -1.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.18% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.98% ( -0.22) | 54.02% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.54% ( -0.18) | 75.45% ( 0.18) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( 0.56) | 27.91% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% ( 0.71) | 63.53% ( -0.71) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71% ( -0.81) | 28.99% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( -1.02) | 64.89% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Raed | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.64% |
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