SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alanyaspor in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Alanyaspor.
| Result | ||
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
54.29% ( 0.24) | 22.67% ( -0.07) | 23.04% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.41% ( 0.14) | 42.58% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.01% ( 0.14) | 64.99% ( -0.14) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( 0.13) | 15.63% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.36% ( 0.25) | 44.63% ( -0.25) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.76% ( -0.07) | 32.23% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.27% ( -0.08) | 68.73% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 23.04% |
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