Alaves are a tough side to back at the moment, and we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than an away win here. Real Betis will not have had long to prepare for this match, but their quality should allow them to secure an important three points ahead of the international break.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
-0.13) 
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