This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, with both sides picking up six points from four league games this season. Alaves have struggled away this term, but they were impressive against Valencia last time out, and we are backing the visitors to secure a share of the spoils on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Alaves
30.42% ( -0.01)	27.85%	41.73% ( 0)

Both teams to score 47.13% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.44% (

-0.01)

58.56% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.87% (

-0)

79.13% (

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.15% (

-0.01)

34.85% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.41% (

-0.01)

71.59% (

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34% (

-0)

27.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.79%

63.21%

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 30.42%

Alaves 41.72%

Draw 27.84%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 30.42%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.84%	0-1 @ 12.38% 1-2 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.84% Total : 41.72%