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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
RV

Betis
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Jose (53')
Miranda (15'), Rodriguez (43'), Roca (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (45'), Espino (55'), Isi (58'), de Tomas (58'), Perez (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Betis 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo will be desperate to bounce back from their seven-goal defeat last time out, but this is a very tricky match against a talented Real Betis outfit. Pellegrini's side will also be aiming to recover from a loss, and we are backing the home side to secure all three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawRayo Vallecano
33.84% (-0.272 -0.27) 28.56% (0.103 0.1) 37.6% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 46.01% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.62% (-0.389 -0.39)60.38% (0.391 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47% (-0.296 -0.3)80.53% (0.3 0.3)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-0.387 -0.39)33.37% (0.392 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (-0.428 -0.43)69.99% (0.431 0.43)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)30.94% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76% (-0.106 -0.11)67.24% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 33.84%
    Rayo Vallecano 37.6%
    Draw 28.55%
Real BetisDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 12.11% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-2 Betis
Sunday, August 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 0-0 Atletico
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Betis
Sunday, August 13 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Burnley
Friday, July 28 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Betis
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Valencia
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-7 Atletico
Monday, August 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, August 21 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, August 11 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, August 6 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Mallorca 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Villarreal
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga


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