SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Albania | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Turkey | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Georgia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albania | Draw | Georgia |
62.14% ( 0.01) | 21.43% ( 0.06) | 16.43% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( -0.35) | 46.54% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( -0.33) | 68.81% ( 0.33) |
| Albania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( -0.11) | 14.41% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.67% ( -0.21) | 42.33% ( 0.22) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.52% ( -0.29) | 41.47% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.02% ( -0.25) | 77.98% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albania | Draw | Georgia |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 62.13% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.43% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.43% |
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