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J1 League | Gameweek 10
Apr 27, 2024 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 3
FC Tokyo

Hayakawa (90')
Miyamoto (26'), Chiba (34'), Ota (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nakagawa (39'), Shirai (49'), Oliveira (62')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawFC Tokyo
35.86% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 26.94% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 37.2% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.1% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.87% (-0.113 -0.11)54.13% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.45% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)75.54% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-0.11 -0.11)28.91% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (-0.137 -0.14)64.79% (0.137 0.14)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)28.11% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)63.78% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 35.86%
    FC Tokyo 37.19%
    Draw 26.93%
Albirex NiigataDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.86%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 10.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 37.19%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, April 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, March 30 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 16 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 13 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 7 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-1 Urawa
Wednesday, April 3 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 16 at 4am in J1 League


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