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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
44.33% ( -0.31) | 23.94% ( 0.1) | 31.73% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 60.24% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% ( -0.39) | 41.87% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.72% ( -0.39) | 64.28% ( 0.39) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( -0.29) | 19.13% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.23% ( -0.48) | 50.76% ( 0.47) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( -0.07) | 25.51% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.63% ( -0.09) | 60.37% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.3% Total : 44.33% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.73% |
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