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National League | Gameweek 37
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm
AT

Oxford City
1 - 2
Aldershot

Coyle (27')
Fleet (42')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tolaj (12'), Stokes (38')
Tolaj (69'), Rowe (79')
Coverage of the National League clash between Oxford City and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gateshead 4-0 Oxford City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 4-1 Aldershot
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.13%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aldershot Town in this match.

Result
Oxford CityDrawAldershot Town
33.68% (0.285 0.28) 22.52% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 43.8% (-0.322 -0.32)
Both teams to score 66.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.82% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)34.18% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.93% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)56.07% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.119 0.12)20.75% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (0.185 0.18)53.38% (-0.186 -0.19)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.74% (-0.146 -0.15)16.26% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.21% (-0.267 -0.27)45.79% (0.266 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 33.68%
    Aldershot Town 43.81%
    Draw 22.52%
Oxford CityDrawAldershot Town
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.31% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.17% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 33.68%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.37% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.41% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 43.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gateshead 4-0 Oxford City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford City 2-5 Eastleigh
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford City 0-0 Southend
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 7-1 Oxford City
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 2-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 3-2 Oxford City
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 4-1 Aldershot
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-0 Barnet
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 2-0 Altrincham
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 0-5 Fylde
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 3-3 Aldershot
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in National League


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