SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.13%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aldershot Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
33.68% ( 0.28) | 22.52% ( 0.03) | 43.8% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 66.37% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.82% ( -0.06) | 34.18% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.93% ( -0.07) | 56.07% ( 0.07) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( 0.12) | 20.75% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.62% ( 0.18) | 53.38% ( -0.19) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% ( -0.15) | 16.26% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.21% ( -0.27) | 45.79% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 33.68% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 43.81% |
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