SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Barnet |
29.24% ( -0.36) | 22.7% ( 0.4) | 48.06% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.24% ( -1.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.71% ( -2.23) | 37.29% ( 2.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.5% ( -2.44) | 59.5% ( 2.44) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( -1.35) | 24.81% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% ( -1.91) | 59.39% ( 1.91) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.11% ( -0.85) | 15.88% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.89% ( -1.59) | 45.11% ( 1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.38)2-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.24% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.57)0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.16)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.78% Total : 48.06% |
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