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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 15.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
66.62% ( -0.7) | 18.27% ( 0.32) | 15.11% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.4% ( -0.69) | 34.6% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.46% ( -0.78) | 56.54% ( 0.79) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.37% ( -0.35) | 9.64% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.82% ( -0.83) | 32.18% ( 0.84) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.22% ( 0.06) | 35.78% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.45% ( 0.05) | 72.55% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.46% Total : 66.62% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.27% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 15.11% |
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