SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Rochdale |
40.1% ( -0.11) | 25.51% ( 0.01) | 34.39% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.78% ( -0.04) | 48.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( -0.03) | 70.37% ( 0.03) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( -0.07) | 23.79% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% ( -0.1) | 57.94% ( 0.1) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( 0.04) | 26.95% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.71% ( 0.05) | 62.29% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.39% |
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