SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
37.25% ( -0.56) | 26.12% ( -0.04) | 36.62% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( 0.17) | 50.7% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( 0.15) | 72.6% ( -0.15) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( -0.23) | 26.46% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.36% ( -0.31) | 61.64% ( 0.31) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.17% ( 0.43) | 26.82% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% ( 0.56) | 62.12% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.25% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.62% |
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