SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
35.87% ( -0.89) | 24.52% ( -0.04) | 39.61% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 59.42% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( 0.09) | 43.47% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( 0.09) | 65.87% ( -0.09) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( -0.44) | 23.88% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( -0.63) | 58.08% ( 0.63) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( 0.49) | 21.94% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.78% ( 0.75) | 55.22% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.06% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.62% |
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