SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.75%) and 0-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Walsall |
18.35% ( -1.88) | 19.76% ( -0.89) | 61.9% ( 2.78) |
| Both teams to score 59.93% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.5% ( 1.29) | 35.51% ( -1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.45% ( 1.42) | 57.55% ( -1.41) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( -1.1) | 32.62% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.84% ( -1.26) | 69.17% ( 1.26) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( 1.15) | 11.06% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.59% ( 2.47) | 35.42% ( -2.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Walsall |
| 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.41) 1-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.22)Other @ 3.15% Total : 18.35% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.76% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.24)0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 7.19% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 6.42% ( 0.45)2-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.96% ( 0.34)0-4 @ 3.53% ( 0.4)2-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.13)1-5 @ 1.74% ( 0.22)0-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.24)2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.79% Total : 61.9% |
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